Pakistan’s current account has posted a substantial surplus of $397 million in December 2023, a stark contrast to the $15 million deficit recorded in November. This positive shift is attributed to increased exports and remittances, coupled with a marginal decline in imports.

  • DECEMBER 2023 PERFORMANCE:

    Exports Surge: The country’s exports (goods and services) witnessed an impressive surge, reaching $3.526 billion in December 2023, reflecting a growth of over 14% compared to December 2022’s $3.089 billion.

  • Remittances Increase: Remittances for December 2023 stood at $2.38 billion, marking a marginal increase of 13% from the same month in the previous year.
  • Decline in Imports: Total imports experienced a slight dip, down by 2% to $4.97 billion in December 2023, compared to $4.98 billion in the corresponding period last year.

JULY-DECEMBER FY24 PERFORMANCE:

  • Massive Decline in Deficit: The data from the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reveals a significant improvement in the current account balance for the period July-December of FY24. The deficit stands at $831 million, a substantial decline of over $2.8 billion or 77% compared to the same period in the previous fiscal year.

MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE (MPC) INSIGHTS:

  • The SBP’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting in December noted a remarkable improvement in the current account balance, with the deficit narrowing by 65.9% year-on-year to $1.1 billion during Jul-Oct FY24.

SIGNIFICANCE FOR PAKISTAN’S ECONOMY:

The current account surplus is a pivotal development for Pakistan, a nation heavily reliant on imports. A surplus eases pressure on the exchange rate and contributes to maintaining official foreign exchange reserves. The positive trend in trade and financial indicators underscores a resilient economic outlook, offering optimism for continued stability and growth.

ALI

ALI

Experienced Senior Research Analyst

SIKANDER RAZA

SIKANDER RAZA

Sikander Raza, a Senior Technical Analyst

HAMZA SALEEM

HAMZA SALEEM

Hamza Saleem, a Senior Business Analyst

IRSA

IRSA

Irsa Sajjad, as a Research Analyst for Equities

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