Gold prices in Pakistan witnessed a notable decline on Monday, reflecting global market trends. The price of 24-karat gold fell by Rs1,700 per tola, settling at Rs274,500, according to the All-Pakistan Gems and Jewelers Sarafa Association (APGJSA). This decline mirrors a broader trend in international markets, where spot gold was trading near $2,635 per ounce, down $10.5 or 0.40% from the previous session.


Domestic Gold Market Overview

  • 24-Karat Gold:
    • Per Tola: Rs274,500 (down Rs1,700)
    • Per 10 Grams: Rs235,340 (down Rs1,457)
  • 22-Karat Gold: Rs215,728 per 10 grams.

Meanwhile, silver prices in Pakistan remained steady:

  • 24-Karat Silver: Rs3,400 per tola and Rs2,915 per 10 grams.

Global Gold Trends: Key Drivers Behind the Decline

The drop in gold prices is largely attributed to a stronger US Dollar (USD) and rising US Treasury bond yields. Both factors have weighed heavily on the non-yielding asset, creating headwinds for gold’s bullish trajectory.

Factors Influencing Gold Prices Globally:

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  1. US Dollar Recovery:
    • The USD rebounded from a three-week low due to higher bond yields.
  2. US Bond Yields Surge:
    • Investors anticipate that inflationary pressures could push the Federal Reserve to pause rate cuts.
  3. Geopolitical and Economic Concerns:
    • Uncertainty around trade policies, such as potential tariffs proposed by US President-elect Donald Trump, adds volatility to the market.

Technical Analysis: What Lies Ahead for Gold?

Gold prices (XAU/USD) are trading near the lower boundary of a descending channel, signaling bearish pressure. Key technical insights include:

  • Support Levels:
    • Immediate support at $2,600 per ounce.
    • A breach could lead to a further decline toward the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $2,575.
  • Resistance Levels:
    • Short-term resistance is at $2,642-$2,643.
    • A break above $2,665 may signal recovery toward the $2,700 mark.

Broader Market Influences

Global macroeconomic data is expected to play a pivotal role in shaping gold prices in the coming days. The ISM Manufacturing PMI and other US economic indicators could drive the USD and, in turn, influence gold prices.

ALI

ALI

Experienced Senior Research Analyst

SIKANDER RAZA

SIKANDER RAZA

Sikander Raza, a Senior Technical Analyst

HAMZA SALEEM

HAMZA SALEEM

Hamza Saleem, a Senior Business Analyst

IRSA

IRSA

Irsa Sajjad, as a Research Analyst for Equities

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